University of Connecticut for the Hearst Newspapers (10/8-15, likely voters, no trendlines):
Jim Himes (D): 44
Chris Shays (R-inc): 44
Other: 2
Undecided: 10
(MoE: ±4.4%)
As DemFromCT says, 44 is an ugly, ugly place for an incumbent to be – especially when Barack Obama is leading John McCain by a 54-34 margin.
This confirms another dead-heat in CT-04 for the third straight cycle. I feel much better about Himes ability to close the deal than I did Farrell.